Falkirk FC vs St. Johnstone
Pre-match analysis and preview
Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.
Falkirk FC host St. Johnstone in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.
Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Falkirk FC collected 15 points (5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses). St. Johnstone earned 6 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.
At home, Falkirk FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, St. Johnstone have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.
Where full-quality xG is available, Falkirk FC average 1.46 xG and 1.89 xGA over 5 recent matches; St. Johnstone average 1.12 xG and 2.21 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.
At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Falkirk FC in position 3 and St. Johnstone in position 7. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.
This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.
Model prediction
Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.
1X2
Total goals
Both teams to score
Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches Falkirk FC 5/5, St. Johnstone 5/5; home/away splits 5/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.
Pre-match league context
Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Recent form comparison
Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Falkirk FC
St. Johnstone
Home / away form
Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.
xG trends
Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.
Falkirk FC
St. Johnstone
Expected goals & scorelines
Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.
Falkirk FC expected goals
St. Johnstone expected goals
Recent matches
The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.
Falkirk FC
08 NovWA · Heart of MidlothianxG 2.50 · xGA 1.845–201 NovWH · CelticxG 0.99 · xGA 2.772–028 OctWA · AberdeenxG 1.06 · xGA 1.671–024 OctWH · KilmarnockxG 2.00 · xGA 1.823–0St. Johnstone
07 NovWH · Dundee FCxG 1.53 · xGA 0.582–131 OctDA · KilmarnockxG 0.75 · xGA 3.302–228 OctDH · MotherwellxG 1.44 · xGA 1.512–224 OctLA · RangersxG 0.58 · xGA 4.570–4Head to head
Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.
More Scottish Premiership match analysis
Nearby locked predictions from the same season.
Continue exploring
Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.