Aberdeen vs Falkirk FC

Aberdeen host Falkirk FC in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Aberdeen collected 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). Falkirk FC earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Aberdeen have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Falkirk FC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Aberdeen average 1.21 xG and 1.05 xGA over 5 recent matches; Falkirk FC average 1.31 xG and 1.49 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Aberdeen in position 7 and Falkirk FC in position 9. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 3 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Falkirk FC won 1–0 away to Aberdeen. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.67 for Aberdeen and 1.06 for Falkirk FC. Aberdeen generated the higher xG total. Aberdeen scored -1.67 goals relative to xG and Falkirk FC scored -0.06 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Aberdeen registered 15 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%); Falkirk FC recorded 13 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 30.8%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (48.3%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Aberdeen vs Falkirk FC

Final score: 0–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.67 – 1.06.

Shots: 15 – 13.

Shots on target: 5 – 4.

Possession: 45.00% – 55.00%.

Corners: 5 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.