St. Mirren vs Hibernian

St. Mirren host Hibernian in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, St. Mirren collected 0 points (0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses). Hibernian earned 1 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, St. Mirren have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Hibernian have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, St. Mirren average 1.07 xG and 2.46 xGA over 5 recent matches; Hibernian average 1.32 xG and 1.53 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places St. Mirren in position 8 and Hibernian in position 12. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

St. Mirren and Hibernian drew 1–1. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.72 for St. Mirren and 1.36 for Hibernian. St. Mirren generated the higher xG total. St. Mirren scored -0.72 goals relative to xG and Hibernian scored -0.36 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

St. Mirren registered 11 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 27.3%); Hibernian recorded 9 shots, with 1 on target (shot accuracy: 11.1%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (40.7%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

St. Mirren vs Hibernian

Final score: 1–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.72 – 1.36.

Shots: 11 – 9.

Shots on target: 3 – 1.

Possession: 42.00% – 58.00%.

Corners: 3 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.