Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock

Dundee FC host Kilmarnock in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Dundee FC collected 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). Kilmarnock earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Dundee FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Kilmarnock have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Dundee FC average 1.42 xG and 1.56 xGA over 5 recent matches; Kilmarnock average 1.18 xG and 1.63 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Dundee FC in position 4 and Kilmarnock in position 11. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Dundee FC won 3–1 against Kilmarnock. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.24 for Dundee FC and 2.22 for Kilmarnock. Dundee FC generated the higher xG total. Dundee FC scored +0.76 goals relative to xG and Kilmarnock scored -1.22 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Dundee FC registered 15 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%); Kilmarnock recorded 15 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 20.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (48.4%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock

Final score: 3–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.24 – 2.22.

Shots: 15 – 15.

Shots on target: 5 – 3.

Possession: 50.00% – 50.00%.

Corners: 7 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.