St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC

St. Johnstone host Dundee FC in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, St. Johnstone collected 6 points (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses). Dundee FC earned 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, St. Johnstone have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Dundee FC have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, St. Johnstone average 1.03 xG and 2.34 xGA over 5 recent matches; Dundee FC average 1.64 xG and 1.70 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places St. Johnstone in position 7 and Dundee FC in position 4. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

St. Johnstone won 2–1 against Dundee FC. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.53 for St. Johnstone and 0.58 for Dundee FC. St. Johnstone generated the higher xG total. St. Johnstone scored +0.47 goals relative to xG and Dundee FC scored +0.42 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

St. Johnstone registered 17 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 23.5%); Dundee FC recorded 8 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 37.5%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (41.7%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC

Final score: 2–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.53 – 0.58.

Shots: 17 – 8.

Shots on target: 4 – 3.

Possession: 57.00% – 43.00%.

Corners: 4 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.