Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Aberdeen host Hibernian in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Aberdeen collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). Hibernian earned 2 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Aberdeen have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Hibernian have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Aberdeen average 1.50 xG and 1.22 xGA over 5 recent matches; Hibernian average 1.22 xG and 1.22 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Aberdeen in position 10 and Hibernian in position 12. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Hibernian won 4–0 away to Aberdeen. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.96 for Aberdeen and 2.41 for Hibernian. Hibernian generated the higher xG total. Aberdeen scored -0.96 goals relative to xG and Hibernian scored +1.59 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Aberdeen registered 15 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 13.3%); Hibernian recorded 21 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 28.6%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (39.9%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Final score: 0–4. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.96 – 2.41.

Shots: 15 – 21.

Shots on target: 2 – 6.

Possession: 42.00% – 58.00%.

Corners: 8 – 6.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.