Hibernian vs Celtic

Hibernian host Celtic in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Hibernian collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). Celtic earned 12 points from 5 matches (4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Hibernian have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Celtic have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Hibernian average 1.32 xG and 1.53 xGA over 5 recent matches; Celtic average 2.57 xG and 1.20 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Hibernian in position 12 and Celtic in position 1. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Celtic won 2–1 away to Hibernian. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.19 for Hibernian and 1.15 for Celtic. Hibernian generated the higher xG total. Hibernian scored -0.19 goals relative to xG and Celtic scored +0.85 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Hibernian registered 13 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 15.4%); Celtic recorded 15 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 26.7%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (67.8%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Hibernian vs Celtic

Final score: 1–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.19 – 1.15.

Shots: 13 – 15.

Shots on target: 2 – 4.

Possession: 39.00% – 61.00%.

Corners: 2 – 6.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.