Rangers vs St. Johnstone

Rangers host St. Johnstone in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Rangers collected 13 points (4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses). St. Johnstone earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Rangers have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, St. Johnstone have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Rangers average 2.10 xG and 1.05 xGA over 5 recent matches; St. Johnstone average 1.26 xG and 1.44 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Rangers in position 2 and St. Johnstone in position 5. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Rangers won 4–0 against St. Johnstone. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 4.57 for Rangers and 0.58 for St. Johnstone. Rangers generated the higher xG total. Rangers scored -0.57 goals relative to xG and St. Johnstone scored -0.58 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Rangers registered 21 shots, with 9 on target (shot accuracy: 42.9%); St. Johnstone recorded 9 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 22.2%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (70.8%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Rangers vs St. Johnstone

Final score: 4–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 4.57 – 0.58.

Shots: 21 – 9.

Shots on target: 9 – 2.

Possession: 61.00% – 39.00%.

Corners: 12 – 2.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.