St. Mirren vs Dundee FC

St. Mirren host Dundee FC in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, St. Mirren collected 0 points (0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses). Dundee FC earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, St. Mirren have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Dundee FC have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, St. Mirren average 1.07 xG and 2.46 xGA over 5 recent matches; Dundee FC average 1.42 xG and 1.56 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places St. Mirren in position 8 and Dundee FC in position 4. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

St. Mirren won 2–1 against Dundee FC. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.41 for St. Mirren and 1.44 for Dundee FC. Dundee FC generated the higher xG total. St. Mirren scored +0.59 goals relative to xG and Dundee FC scored -0.44 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

St. Mirren registered 9 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 55.6%); Dundee FC recorded 17 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 23.5%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (37.2%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

St. Mirren vs Dundee FC

Final score: 2–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.41 – 1.44.

Shots: 9 – 17.

Shots on target: 5 – 4.

Possession: 45.00% – 55.00%.

Corners: 2 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.