Dundee United vs Aberdeen

Dundee United host Aberdeen in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Dundee United collected 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). Aberdeen earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Dundee United have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Aberdeen have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Dundee United average 1.35 xG and 1.18 xGA over 5 recent matches; Aberdeen average 1.21 xG and 1.05 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Dundee United in position 6 and Aberdeen in position 7. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Dundee United won 3–2 against Aberdeen. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.50 for Dundee United and 1.56 for Aberdeen. Aberdeen generated the higher xG total. Dundee United scored +1.50 goals relative to xG and Aberdeen scored +0.44 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Dundee United registered 14 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 42.9%); Aberdeen recorded 20 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 15.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (48.7%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Dundee United vs Aberdeen

Final score: 3–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.50 – 1.56.

Shots: 14 – 20.

Shots on target: 6 – 3.

Possession: 45.00% – 55.00%.

Corners: 3 – 8.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.