Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

Kilmarnock host Aberdeen in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Kilmarnock collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). Aberdeen earned 3 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Kilmarnock have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Aberdeen have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Kilmarnock average 2.09 xG and 2.00 xGA over 5 recent matches; Aberdeen average 1.54 xG and 1.41 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Kilmarnock in position 12 and Aberdeen in position 11. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.