FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart
Pre-match analysis and preview
Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.
FC Schalke 04 host VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.
Across their last 5 recorded league matches, FC Schalke 04 collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). VfB Stuttgart earned 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.
At home, FC Schalke 04 have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 recorded home matches. On the road, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.
Where full-quality xG is available, FC Schalke 04 average 0.87 xG and 1.86 xGA over 5 recent matches; VfB Stuttgart average 1.95 xG and 1.86 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.
At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places FC Schalke 04 in position 17 and VfB Stuttgart in position 8. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.
This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.
Model prediction
Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.
1X2
Total goals
Both teams to score
Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches FC Schalke 04 5/5, VfB Stuttgart 5/5; home/away splits 4/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.
Pre-match league context
Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Recent form comparison
Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
FC Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart
Home / away form
Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.
xG trends
Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.
FC Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart
Expected goals & scorelines
Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.
FC Schalke 04 expected goals
VfB Stuttgart expected goals
Recent matches
The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.
FC Schalke 04
08 NovLA · TSG HoffenheimxG 2.60 · xGA 1.901–231 OctLH · RB LeipzigxG 0.49 · xGA 3.240–224 OctDA · 1. FC KölnxG 0.60 · xGA 1.220–017 OctLH · 1. FSV Mainz 05xG 0.43 · xGA 1.940–1VfB Stuttgart
07 NovWH · SV Werder BremenxG 0.71 · xGA 1.401–031 OctWA · Bayer 04 LeverkusenxG 2.81 · xGA 1.984–223 OctLH · Borussia M'gladbachxG 1.55 · xGA 2.602–317 OctLA · Hamburger SVxG 2.28 · xGA 1.500–1Head to head
Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.
More Bundesliga match analysis
Nearby locked predictions from the same season.
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Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.