VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen

VfB Stuttgart host SV Werder Bremen in Bundesliga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, VfB Stuttgart collected 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses). SV Werder Bremen earned 11 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, SV Werder Bremen have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, VfB Stuttgart average 2.04 xG and 1.85 xGA over 5 recent matches; SV Werder Bremen average 2.20 xG and 1.48 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places VfB Stuttgart in position 10 and SV Werder Bremen in position 5. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

VfB Stuttgart won 1–0 against SV Werder Bremen. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.71 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.40 for SV Werder Bremen. SV Werder Bremen generated the higher xG total. VfB Stuttgart scored +0.29 goals relative to xG and SV Werder Bremen scored -1.40 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

VfB Stuttgart registered 13 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 38.5%); SV Werder Bremen recorded 23 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 21.7%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (46.6%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen

Final score: 1–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.71 – 1.40.

Shots: 13 – 23.

Shots on target: 5 – 5.

Possession: 43.00% – 57.00%.

Corners: 4 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.