SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Pre-match analysis and preview
Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.
SC Paderborn 07 host Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.
Across their last 5 recorded league matches, SC Paderborn 07 collected 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). Eintracht Frankfurt earned 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.
At home, SC Paderborn 07 have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 recorded home matches. On the road, Eintracht Frankfurt have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.
Where full-quality xG is available, SC Paderborn 07 average 1.16 xG and 1.71 xGA over 5 recent matches; Eintracht Frankfurt average 1.66 xG and 2.17 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.
At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places SC Paderborn 07 in position 12 and Eintracht Frankfurt in position 15. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.
This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.
Model prediction
Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.
1X2
Total goals
Both teams to score
Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches SC Paderborn 07 5/5, Eintracht Frankfurt 5/5; home/away splits 4/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.
Pre-match league context
Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Recent form comparison
Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home / away form
Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.
xG trends
Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Frankfurt
Expected goals & scorelines
Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.
SC Paderborn 07 expected goals
Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals
Recent matches
The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.
SC Paderborn 07
31 OctDA · Borussia M'gladbachxG 1.02 · xGA 1.030–024 OctWH · Hamburger SVxG 1.13 · xGA 0.431–017 OctDA · SV Werder BremenxG 1.15 · xGA 3.212–2Eintracht Frankfurt
24 OctLA · Borussia DortmundxG 0.82 · xGA 1.540–116 OctWH · 1. FC KölnxG 1.80 · xGA 0.801–010 OctLA · RB LeipzigxG 1.44 · xGA 3.280–6Head to head
Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.
Post-match analysis
Final score, verified match data and the original model prediction.
SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 2–2. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.
Expected goals were 2.25 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.70 for Eintracht Frankfurt. SC Paderborn 07 generated the higher xG total. SC Paderborn 07 scored -0.25 goals relative to xG and Eintracht Frankfurt scored +0.30 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.
SC Paderborn 07 registered 11 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 27.3%); Eintracht Frankfurt recorded 16 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 18.8%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.
The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (38.4%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.
Post-match statistical review
Verified final-match data, shown only where the provider supplies both teams' values.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Final score: 2–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.
Expected goals (xG): 2.25 – 1.70.
Shots: 11 – 16.
Shots on target: 3 – 3.
Possession: 51.00% – 49.00%.
Corners: 2 – 6.
Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.
Forward result
The prediction above remained locked; this section compares it with the final result.
More Bundesliga match analysis
Nearby locked predictions from the same season.
Continue exploring
Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.