1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

1. FC Köln host FC Schalke 04 in Bundesliga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, 1. FC Köln collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). FC Schalke 04 earned 5 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, 1. FC Köln have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, FC Schalke 04 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across 3 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, 1. FC Köln average 1.61 xG and 1.80 xGA over 5 recent matches; FC Schalke 04 average 0.88 xG and 1.57 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places 1. FC Köln in position 12 and FC Schalke 04 in position 15. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

1. FC Köln and FC Schalke 04 drew 0–0. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.22 for 1. FC Köln and 0.60 for FC Schalke 04. 1. FC Köln generated the higher xG total. 1. FC Köln scored -1.22 goals relative to xG and FC Schalke 04 scored -0.60 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

1. FC Köln registered 14 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 35.7%); FC Schalke 04 recorded 9 shots, with 1 on target (shot accuracy: 11.1%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (51.0%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

Final score: 0–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.22 – 0.60.

Shots: 14 – 9.

Shots on target: 5 – 1.

Possession: 62.00% – 38.00%.

Corners: 6 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.