1. FC Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach

1. FC Köln host Borussia M'gladbach in Bundesliga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, 1. FC Köln collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). Borussia M'gladbach earned 3 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, 1. FC Köln have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Borussia M'gladbach have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, 1. FC Köln average 1.77 xG and 2.19 xGA over 5 recent matches; Borussia M'gladbach average 1.62 xG and 2.66 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places 1. FC Köln in position 14 and Borussia M'gladbach in position 18. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 4 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

1. FC Köln won 2–1 against Borussia M'gladbach. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.32 for 1. FC Köln and 1.17 for Borussia M'gladbach. 1. FC Köln generated the higher xG total. 1. FC Köln scored +0.68 goals relative to xG and Borussia M'gladbach scored -0.17 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

1. FC Köln registered 19 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 36.8%); Borussia M'gladbach recorded 16 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 43.8%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (57.7%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

1. FC Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach

Final score: 2–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.32 – 1.17.

Shots: 19 – 16.

Shots on target: 7 – 7.

Possession: 48.00% – 52.00%.

Corners: 6 – 6.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.