Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna

Deportivo La Coruña host Osasuna in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Deportivo La Coruña collected 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses). Osasuna earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Deportivo La Coruña have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Osasuna have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Deportivo La Coruña average 1.39 xG and 0.96 xGA over 3 recent matches; Osasuna average 0.93 xG and 2.25 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Deportivo La Coruña in position 10 and Osasuna in position 12. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Deportivo La Coruña won 2–1 against Osasuna. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.36 for Deportivo La Coruña and 1.10 for Osasuna. Deportivo La Coruña generated the higher xG total. Deportivo La Coruña scored -0.36 goals relative to xG and Osasuna scored -0.10 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Deportivo La Coruña registered 18 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 38.9%); Osasuna recorded 11 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 18.2%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (48.2%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna

Final score: 2–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.36 – 1.10.

Shots: 18 – 11.

Shots on target: 7 – 2.

Possession: 62.00% – 38.00%.

Corners: 8 – 2.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.