Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña

Real Sociedad host Deportivo La Coruña in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Real Sociedad collected 10 points (3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). Deportivo La Coruña earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Real Sociedad have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Deportivo La Coruña have 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across 3 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Real Sociedad average 1.27 xG and 1.43 xGA over 5 recent matches; Deportivo La Coruña average 1.07 xG and 0.98 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Real Sociedad in position 8 and Deportivo La Coruña in position 7. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Real Sociedad won 3–2 against Deportivo La Coruña. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.44 for Real Sociedad and 2.13 for Deportivo La Coruña. Deportivo La Coruña generated the higher xG total. Real Sociedad scored +1.56 goals relative to xG and Deportivo La Coruña scored -0.13 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Real Sociedad registered 12 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%); Deportivo La Coruña recorded 21 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (38.4%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña

Final score: 3–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.44 – 2.13.

Shots: 12 – 21.

Shots on target: 4 – 7.

Possession: 40.00% – 60.00%.

Corners: 7 – 10.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.