Elche vs Celta Vigo

Elche host Celta Vigo in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Elche collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). Celta Vigo earned 6 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Elche have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Celta Vigo have 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Elche average 1.33 xG and 1.87 xGA over 5 recent matches; Celta Vigo average 1.25 xG and 1.13 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Elche in position 18 and Celta Vigo in position 15. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 2 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Elche and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.80 for Elche and 0.31 for Celta Vigo. Elche generated the higher xG total. Elche scored -0.80 goals relative to xG and Celta Vigo scored -0.31 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Elche registered 13 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 15.4%); Celta Vigo recorded 7 shots, with 0 on target (shot accuracy: 0.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (39.7%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Elche vs Celta Vigo

Final score: 0–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.80 – 0.31.

Shots: 13 – 7.

Shots on target: 2 – 0.

Possession: 67.00% – 33.00%.

Corners: 5 – 2.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.