Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña

Atlético Madrid host Deportivo La Coruña in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Atlético Madrid collected 15 points (5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses). Deportivo La Coruña earned 3 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Atlético Madrid have 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Deportivo La Coruña have 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across 4 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Atlético Madrid average 2.39 xG and 0.53 xGA over 5 recent matches; Deportivo La Coruña average 1.03 xG and 0.77 xGA over 3 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Atlético Madrid in position 2 and Deportivo La Coruña in position 8. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Atlético Madrid won 1–0 against Deportivo La Coruña. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.36 for Atlético Madrid and 1.95 for Deportivo La Coruña. Deportivo La Coruña generated the higher xG total. Atlético Madrid scored -0.36 goals relative to xG and Deportivo La Coruña scored -1.95 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Atlético Madrid registered 20 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 20.0%); Deportivo La Coruña recorded 15 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (62.0%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña

Final score: 1–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.36 – 1.95.

Shots: 20 – 15.

Shots on target: 4 – 5.

Possession: 56.00% – 44.00%.

Corners: 3 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.