Sevilla vs Osasuna

Sevilla host Osasuna in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Sevilla collected 7 points (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). Osasuna earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Sevilla have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Osasuna have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Sevilla average 1.00 xG and 1.55 xGA over 5 recent matches; Osasuna average 1.00 xG and 2.33 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Sevilla in position 6 and Osasuna in position 10. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Sevilla won 2–0 against Osasuna. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.14 for Sevilla and 0.77 for Osasuna. Sevilla generated the higher xG total. Sevilla scored +0.86 goals relative to xG and Osasuna scored -0.77 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Sevilla registered 17 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 41.2%); Osasuna recorded 10 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 20.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (43.5%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Sevilla vs Osasuna

Final score: 2–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.14 – 0.77.

Shots: 17 – 10.

Shots on target: 7 – 2.

Possession: 45.00% – 55.00%.

Corners: 7 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.