Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

Celta Vigo host Real Betis in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Celta Vigo collected 7 points (1 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses). Real Betis earned 11 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Celta Vigo have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Real Betis have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Celta Vigo average 1.27 xG and 0.74 xGA over 5 recent matches; Real Betis average 2.33 xG and 1.55 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Celta Vigo in position 11 and Real Betis in position 4. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Celta Vigo and Real Betis drew 0–0. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.84 for Celta Vigo and 1.09 for Real Betis. Real Betis generated the higher xG total. Celta Vigo scored -0.84 goals relative to xG and Real Betis scored -1.09 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Celta Vigo registered 12 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%); Real Betis recorded 15 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 13.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (42.2%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

Final score: 0–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.84 – 1.09.

Shots: 12 – 15.

Shots on target: 4 – 2.

Possession: 44.00% – 56.00%.

Corners: 3 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.