Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés

Celta Vigo host Deportivo Alavés in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Celta Vigo collected 7 points (1 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses). Deportivo Alavés earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Celta Vigo have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Deportivo Alavés have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Celta Vigo average 1.16 xG and 0.74 xGA over 5 recent matches; Deportivo Alavés average 1.07 xG and 1.64 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Celta Vigo in position 9 and Deportivo Alavés in position 7. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Celta Vigo and Deportivo Alavés drew 0–0. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.97 for Celta Vigo and 1.06 for Deportivo Alavés. Deportivo Alavés generated the higher xG total. Celta Vigo scored -0.97 goals relative to xG and Deportivo Alavés scored -1.06 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Celta Vigo registered 6 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 50.0%); Deportivo Alavés recorded 20 shots, with 9 on target (shot accuracy: 45.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (37.5%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés

Final score: 0–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.97 – 1.06.

Shots: 6 – 20.

Shots on target: 3 – 9.

Possession: 48.00% – 52.00%.

Corners: 0 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.