Málaga vs Real Sociedad

Málaga host Real Sociedad in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Málaga collected 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses). Real Sociedad earned 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in their last 4 recorded home matches. On the road, Real Sociedad have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Málaga average 0.77 xG and 1.65 xGA over 5 recent matches; Real Sociedad average 1.14 xG and 1.60 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Málaga in position 20 and Real Sociedad in position 6. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Real Sociedad won 5–2 away to Málaga. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.24 for Málaga and 2.44 for Real Sociedad. Real Sociedad generated the higher xG total. Málaga scored +0.76 goals relative to xG and Real Sociedad scored +2.56 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Málaga registered 17 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 35.3%); Real Sociedad recorded 21 shots, with 9 on target (shot accuracy: 42.9%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (42.2%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Málaga vs Real Sociedad

Final score: 2–5. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.24 – 2.44.

Shots: 17 – 21.

Shots on target: 6 – 9.

Possession: 45.00% – 55.00%.

Corners: 4 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.