Osasuna vs Racing de Santander

Osasuna host Racing de Santander in LaLiga. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Osasuna collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). Racing de Santander earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Osasuna have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Racing de Santander have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across 4 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Osasuna average 1.13 xG and 2.10 xGA over 5 recent matches; Racing de Santander average 1.30 xG and 2.85 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Osasuna in position 16 and Racing de Santander in position 15. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Osasuna won 1–0 against Racing de Santander. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 3.65 for Osasuna and 0.28 for Racing de Santander. Osasuna generated the higher xG total. Osasuna scored -2.65 goals relative to xG and Racing de Santander scored -0.28 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Osasuna registered 20 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 35.0%); Racing de Santander recorded 9 shots, with 1 on target (shot accuracy: 11.1%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (53.9%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Osasuna vs Racing de Santander

Final score: 1–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 3.65 – 0.28.

Shots: 20 – 9.

Shots on target: 7 – 1.

Possession: 44.00% – 56.00%.

Corners: 7 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.