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International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 25.8h before kickoff

Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei

· Final

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Vietnam host Chinese Taipei in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

90.7%Home
7.9%Draw
1.4%Away
Highest 1X2 probability: Home 90.7%

Total goals

57.6%Over 2.5
42.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

41.4%Yes
58.6%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →
Vietnam
No pre-match table context available.
Chinese Taipei
No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Vietnam

WWW
3.00Points / match
3.00Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match
VS

Chinese Taipei

No history
—Points / match
—Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Vietnam at home
W-D-L3-0-0
Points / match3.00
Goals / match3.00
xG / match—
Chinese Taipei away
W-D-L0-0-0
Points / match—
Goals / match—
xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Vietnam.
Not enough full-quality xG history for Chinese Taipei.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Vietnam expected goals

3.89

Chinese Taipei expected goals

0.35
3–014.4%
4–013.9%
2–011.1%
5–010.8%
6–07.0%
Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Recent matches

The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.

Vietnam

18 JulWH · MyanmarxG — · xGA —4–0
08 JulWH · Yongin City FCxG — · xGA —2–1
26 MarWH · BangladeshxG — · xGA —3–0

Chinese Taipei

No previous league matches in the database.

Head to head

Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.

Not enough prior league meetings in the database to show a meaningful head-to-head section.

Post-match analysis

Final score, verified match data and the original model prediction.

Vietnam won 2–0 against Chinese Taipei. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (90.7%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Post-match statistical review

Verified final-match data, shown only where the provider supplies both teams' values.

Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei

Final score: 2–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Shots on target: 5 – 4.

Possession: 67.00% – 33.00%.

Corners: 3 – 3.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.

Forward result

The prediction above remained locked; this section compares it with the final result.

Model performance →
✓ Hit1X2 · predicted Home, actual Home
× MissOver 2.5 · predicted Over, actual Under
✓ HitBTTS · predicted No, actual No

More International Friendlies match analysis

Nearby locked predictions from the same season.

League page →

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