New Zealand vs India
Pre-match analysis and preview
Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.
New Zealand host India in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.
Across their last 5 recorded league matches, New Zealand collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). India earned 2 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.
This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.
Model prediction
Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.
1X2
Total goals
Both teams to score
Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.
Pre-match league context
Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Recent form comparison
Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
New Zealand
India
Home / away form
Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.
xG trends
Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.
Expected goals & scorelines
Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.
New Zealand expected goals
India expected goals
Recent matches
The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.
New Zealand
India
Head to head
Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.
Post-match analysis
Final score, verified match data and the original model prediction.
New Zealand won 5–0 against India. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.
The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (62.2%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.
Forward result
The prediction above remained locked; this section compares it with the final result.
More International Friendlies match analysis
Nearby locked predictions from the same season.
Continue exploring
Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.