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International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 49.8h before kickoff

Myanmar vs Bhutan

🇲🇲 Myanmar

🇧🇹 Bhutan

Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Result verification pending · locked pre-match prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Myanmar host Bhutan in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 3 recorded league matches, Myanmar collected 3 points (1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses). Bhutan earned 0 points from 1 matches (0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Myanmar have 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 recorded home matches. On the road, Bhutan have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across 1 away matches.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

70.8%Home

16.3%Draw

12.9%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Home 70.8%

Total goals

62.3%Over 2.5

37.7%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

41.4%Yes

58.6%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →

Myanmar

No pre-match table context available.

Bhutan

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Myanmar

WLL

1.00Points / match

2.33Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Bhutan

0.00Points / match

0.00Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Myanmar at home

W-D-L1-0-0

Points / match3.00

Goals / match6.00

xG / match—

Bhutan away

W-D-L0-0-1

Points / match0.00

Goals / match0.00

xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Myanmar.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Bhutan.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Myanmar expected goals

2.24

Bhutan expected goals

0.70

2–013.2%

1–011.1%

3–09.9%

2–19.3%

1–19.1%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.