SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord

SC Heerenveen host Feyenoord in Eredivisie. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, SC Heerenveen collected 12 points (4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses). Feyenoord earned 11 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, SC Heerenveen have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Feyenoord have 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, SC Heerenveen average 1.98 xG and 1.56 xGA over 5 recent matches; Feyenoord average 2.63 xG and 1.15 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places SC Heerenveen in position 7 and Feyenoord in position 1. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

SC Heerenveen won 5–3 against Feyenoord. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.89 for SC Heerenveen and 1.17 for Feyenoord. SC Heerenveen generated the higher xG total. SC Heerenveen scored +3.11 goals relative to xG and Feyenoord scored +1.83 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

SC Heerenveen registered 18 shots, with 9 on target (shot accuracy: 50.0%); Feyenoord recorded 9 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (53.8%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord

Final score: 5–3. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.89 – 1.17.

Shots: 18 – 9.

Shots on target: 9 – 3.

Possession: 50.00% – 50.00%.

Corners: 4 – 1.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.