Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard

Feyenoord host Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Feyenoord collected 15 points (5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses). Fortuna Sittard earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Feyenoord have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Fortuna Sittard have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Feyenoord average 2.76 xG and 0.78 xGA over 5 recent matches; Fortuna Sittard average 0.78 xG and 1.96 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Feyenoord in position 1 and Fortuna Sittard in position 7. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Feyenoord and Fortuna Sittard drew 1–1. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.56 for Feyenoord and 0.89 for Fortuna Sittard. Feyenoord generated the higher xG total. Feyenoord scored -1.56 goals relative to xG and Fortuna Sittard scored +0.11 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Feyenoord registered 15 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 40.0%); Fortuna Sittard recorded 11 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 27.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (87.9%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard

Final score: 1–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.56 – 0.89.

Shots: 15 – 11.

Shots on target: 6 – 3.

Possession: 69.00% – 31.00%.

Corners: 6 – 1.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.