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CONCACAF Nations League · CONCACAF Nations League 26/27 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 94.9h before kickoff

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Belize

· Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines host Belize in CONCACAF Nations League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines collected 15 points (5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses). Belize earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Belize have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

The database contains 3 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

68.1%Home
16.9%Draw
15.0%Away
Highest 1X2 probability: Home 68.1%

Total goals

60.7%Over 2.5
39.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

48.4%Yes
51.6%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

CONCACAF Nations League page →
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
No pre-match table context available.
Belize
No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

WWWWW
3.00Points / match
2.80Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match
VS

Belize

DWLLL
0.80Points / match
0.60Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at home
W-D-L4-0-1
Points / match2.40
Goals / match2.60
xG / match—
Belize away
W-D-L3-1-1
Points / match2.00
Goals / match1.60
xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Not enough full-quality xG history for Belize.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines expected goals

2.23

Belize expected goals

0.93
2–010.5%
2–19.8%
1–19.6%
1–08.6%
3–07.8%
Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Recent matches

The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

06 OctWH · Sint MaartenxG — · xGA —4–0
03 OctWA · Sint MaartenxG — · xGA —4–2
30 SepWA · BelizexG — · xGA —1–0
26 SepWH · French GuianaxG — · xGA —2–1
17 NovWH · BonairexG — · xGA —3–1

Belize

07 OctLA · French GuianaxG — · xGA —0–1
04 OctLH · French GuianaxG — · xGA —0–2
30 SepLH · Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesxG — · xGA —0–1
27 SepWA · Sint MaartenxG — · xGA —1–0
19 NovDA · French GuianaxG — · xGA —2–2

Head to head

Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.

30 Sep 2026Belize — Saint Vincent and the Grenadines0–1
21 Nov 2023Saint Vincent and the Grenadines — Belize3–0
08 Sep 2023Belize — Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1–2

More CONCACAF Nations League match analysis

Nearby locked predictions from the same season.

League page →

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