Roma vs Sassuolo

Roma host Sassuolo in Serie A. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Roma collected 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). Sassuolo earned 1 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Roma have 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Sassuolo have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Roma average 2.03 xG and 1.67 xGA over 5 recent matches; Sassuolo average 1.14 xG and 2.06 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Roma in position 3 and Sassuolo in position 14. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 4 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Roma won 3–0 against Sassuolo. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 3.39 for Roma and 0.24 for Sassuolo. Roma generated the higher xG total. Roma scored -0.39 goals relative to xG and Sassuolo scored -0.24 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Roma registered 28 shots, with 9 on target (shot accuracy: 32.1%); Sassuolo recorded 6 shots, with 1 on target (shot accuracy: 16.7%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (73.0%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Roma vs Sassuolo

Final score: 3–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 3.39 – 0.24.

Shots: 28 – 6.

Shots on target: 9 – 1.

Possession: 65.00% – 35.00%.

Corners: 12 – 1.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.