Frosinone vs Sassuolo

Frosinone host Sassuolo in Serie A. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Frosinone collected 10 points (3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). Sassuolo earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Frosinone have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Sassuolo have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Frosinone average 1.63 xG and 2.28 xGA over 5 recent matches; Sassuolo average 1.43 xG and 1.39 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Frosinone in position 9 and Sassuolo in position 11. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 2 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Frosinone won 4–2 against Sassuolo. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.55 for Frosinone and 2.02 for Sassuolo. Frosinone generated the higher xG total. Frosinone scored +1.45 goals relative to xG and Sassuolo scored -0.02 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Frosinone registered 21 shots, with 10 on target (shot accuracy: 47.6%); Sassuolo recorded 14 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 42.9%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (40.0%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo

Final score: 4–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.55 – 2.02.

Shots: 21 – 14.

Shots on target: 10 – 6.

Possession: 42.00% – 58.00%.

Corners: 5 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.