Bologna vs Inter

Bologna host Inter in Serie A. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Bologna collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). Inter earned 13 points from 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Bologna have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Inter have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Bologna average 1.22 xG and 1.12 xGA over 5 recent matches; Inter average 3.16 xG and 1.16 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Bologna in position 13 and Inter in position 1. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Inter won 3–1 away to Bologna. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.00 for Bologna and 3.16 for Inter. Inter generated the higher xG total. Bologna scored +0.00 goals relative to xG and Inter scored -0.16 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Bologna registered 11 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 36.4%); Inter recorded 17 shots, with 8 on target (shot accuracy: 47.1%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (57.8%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Bologna vs Inter

Final score: 1–3. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.00 – 3.16.

Shots: 11 – 17.

Shots on target: 4 – 8.

Possession: 35.00% – 65.00%.

Corners: 2 – 6.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.