Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers

Heart of Midlothian host Rangers in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Heart of Midlothian collected 7 points (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). Rangers earned 13 points from 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Heart of Midlothian have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Rangers have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Heart of Midlothian average 2.00 xG and 1.53 xGA over 5 recent matches; Rangers average 2.10 xG and 1.05 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Heart of Midlothian in position 3 and Rangers in position 2. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Heart of Midlothian and Rangers drew 2–2. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.67 for Heart of Midlothian and 2.20 for Rangers. Rangers generated the higher xG total. Heart of Midlothian scored +0.33 goals relative to xG and Rangers scored -0.20 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Heart of Midlothian registered 17 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 35.3%); Rangers recorded 14 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 42.9%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (39.3%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers

Final score: 2–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.67 – 2.20.

Shots: 17 – 14.

Shots on target: 6 – 6.

Possession: 47.00% – 53.00%.

Corners: 4 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.