Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian
Pre-match analysis and preview
Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.
Dundee United host Heart of Midlothian in Scottish Premiership. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.
Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Dundee United collected 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). Heart of Midlothian earned 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.
At home, Dundee United have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Heart of Midlothian have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.
Where full-quality xG is available, Dundee United average 1.62 xG and 1.06 xGA over 5 recent matches; Heart of Midlothian average 2.00 xG and 1.53 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.
At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Dundee United in position 4 and Heart of Midlothian in position 3. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.
The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.
This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.
Model prediction
Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.
1X2
Total goals
Both teams to score
Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches Dundee United 5/5, Heart of Midlothian 5/5; home/away splits 5/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.
Pre-match league context
Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Recent form comparison
Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Dundee United
Heart of Midlothian
Home / away form
Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.
xG trends
Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.
Dundee United
Heart of Midlothian
Expected goals & scorelines
Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.
Dundee United expected goals
Heart of Midlothian expected goals
Recent matches
The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.
Dundee United
24 OctWH · AberdeenxG 1.50 · xGA 1.563–2Heart of Midlothian
Head to head
Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.
More Scottish Premiership match analysis
Nearby locked predictions from the same season.
Continue exploring
Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.