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Saudi Pro League · Saudi Pro League 26/27 Model vnext-global-shadow-2026-11 · locked 101.9h before kickoff

Al-Faisaly vs Al-Diraiyah Club

· Postponed · provider status verified 12 Nov 2026 05:30 UTC

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Al-Faisaly host Al-Diraiyah Club in Saudi Pro League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Al-Faisaly collected 7 points (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). Al-Diraiyah Club earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Al-Faisaly have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Al-Diraiyah Club have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Al-Faisaly average 1.36 xG and 1.55 xGA over 5 recent matches; Al-Diraiyah Club average 1.29 xG and 1.98 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Al-Faisaly in position 15 and Al-Diraiyah Club in position 8. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

38.0%Home
28.2%Draw
33.8%Away
Highest 1X2 probability: Home 38.0%

Total goals

49.0%Over 2.5
51.0%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

54.5%Yes
45.5%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches Al-Faisaly 5/5, Al-Diraiyah Club 5/5; home/away splits 5/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Saudi Pro League page →
Al-Faisaly
Position#15
Points10
Played12
Goal difference-11
Al-Diraiyah Club
Position#8
Points15
Played12
Goal difference-3

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Al-Faisaly

WDLWL
1.40Points / match
1.60Goals / match
1.36xG / match
1.55xGA / match
VS

Al-Diraiyah Club

LDWLL
0.80Points / match
0.60Goals / match
1.29xG / match
1.98xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Al-Faisaly at home
W-D-L1-2-2
Points / match1.00
Goals / match1.20
xG / match1.33
Al-Diraiyah Club away
W-D-L3-0-2
Points / match1.80
Goals / match1.20
xG / match1.63

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Al-Faisaly

15 Oct19 Oct23 Oct27 Oct31 Oct
xGxGA

Al-Diraiyah Club

09 Oct17 Oct20 Oct23 Oct30 Oct
xGxGA

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Al-Faisaly expected goals

1.36

Al-Diraiyah Club expected goals

1.27
1–113.6%
1–08.7%
2–18.5%
0–08.3%
0–18.0%
Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Recent matches

The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.

Al-Faisaly

31 OctLA · Al-FayhaxG 1.03 · xGA 1.241–4
27 OctWA · AbhaxG 0.95 · xGA 1.681–0
23 OctLH · Al-NassrxG 1.10 · xGA 0.581–3
19 OctDA · Al-ShababxG 1.54 · xGA 1.272–2
15 OctWH · Al-KholoodxG 2.20 · xGA 2.983–2

Al-Diraiyah Club

30 OctLH · Neom SCxG 1.36 · xGA 1.971–2
23 OctLA · Al-IttihadxG 0.98 · xGA 2.830–2
20 OctWH · Al-RiyadhxG 1.37 · xGA 0.881–0
17 OctDH · Al-TaawounxG 1.96 · xGA 0.961–1
09 OctLA · Al-NassrxG 0.77 · xGA 3.260–3

Head to head

Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.

Not enough prior league meetings in the database to show a meaningful head-to-head section.

More Saudi Pro League match analysis

Nearby locked predictions from the same season.

League page →

Continue exploring

Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.