Willem II Tilburg vs PEC Zwolle

Willem II Tilburg host PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Willem II Tilburg collected 0 points (0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses). PEC Zwolle earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Willem II Tilburg have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, PEC Zwolle have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Willem II Tilburg average 1.08 xG and 2.34 xGA over 5 recent matches; PEC Zwolle average 0.88 xG and 1.97 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Willem II Tilburg in position 18 and PEC Zwolle in position 15. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 2 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Willem II Tilburg and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.73 for Willem II Tilburg and 0.79 for PEC Zwolle. PEC Zwolle generated the higher xG total. Willem II Tilburg scored +0.27 goals relative to xG and PEC Zwolle scored +0.21 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Willem II Tilburg registered 13 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 38.5%); PEC Zwolle recorded 14 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 14.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (42.1%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Willem II Tilburg vs PEC Zwolle

Final score: 1–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.73 – 0.79.

Shots: 13 – 14.

Shots on target: 5 – 2.

Possession: 42.00% – 58.00%.

Corners: 2 – 7.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.