Willem II Tilburg vs SC Cambuur

Willem II Tilburg host SC Cambuur in Eredivisie. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Willem II Tilburg collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). SC Cambuur earned 11 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Willem II Tilburg have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, SC Cambuur have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Willem II Tilburg average 1.06 xG and 2.45 xGA over 5 recent matches; SC Cambuur average 1.38 xG and 1.53 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Willem II Tilburg in position 18 and SC Cambuur in position 11. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

SC Cambuur won 6–1 away to Willem II Tilburg. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.04 for Willem II Tilburg and 1.91 for SC Cambuur. SC Cambuur generated the higher xG total. Willem II Tilburg scored -0.04 goals relative to xG and SC Cambuur scored +4.09 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Willem II Tilburg registered 11 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 18.2%); SC Cambuur recorded 19 shots, with 11 on target (shot accuracy: 57.9%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (48.3%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Willem II Tilburg vs SC Cambuur

Final score: 1–6. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.04 – 1.91.

Shots: 11 – 19.

Shots on target: 2 – 11.

Possession: 52.00% – 48.00%.

Corners: 13 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.