Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais

Stade Brestois host Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Stade Brestois collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). Olympique Lyonnais earned 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Stade Brestois have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Olympique Lyonnais have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Stade Brestois average 1.75 xG and 1.21 xGA over 5 recent matches; Olympique Lyonnais average 1.68 xG and 1.10 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Stade Brestois in position 14 and Olympique Lyonnais in position 3. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Stade Brestois won 2–0 against Olympique Lyonnais. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.88 for Stade Brestois and 0.64 for Olympique Lyonnais. Stade Brestois generated the higher xG total. Stade Brestois scored +0.12 goals relative to xG and Olympique Lyonnais scored -0.64 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Stade Brestois registered 13 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 46.2%); Olympique Lyonnais recorded 10 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 20.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (49.8%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais

Final score: 2–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.88 – 0.64.

Shots: 13 – 10.

Shots on target: 6 – 2.

Possession: 31.00% – 69.00%.

Corners: 1 – 8.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.