Stade Brestois vs Nice

Stade Brestois host Nice in Ligue 1. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Stade Brestois collected 7 points (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). Nice earned 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Stade Brestois have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Nice have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Stade Brestois average 1.73 xG and 1.52 xGA over 5 recent matches; Nice average 1.30 xG and 1.35 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Stade Brestois in position 10 and Nice in position 13. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Nice won 2–1 away to Stade Brestois. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.46 for Stade Brestois and 0.47 for Nice. Stade Brestois generated the higher xG total. Stade Brestois scored -1.46 goals relative to xG and Nice scored +1.53 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Stade Brestois registered 13 shots, with 7 on target (shot accuracy: 53.8%); Nice recorded 9 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 22.2%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (54.0%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Stade Brestois vs Nice

Final score: 1–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.46 – 0.47.

Shots: 13 – 9.

Shots on target: 7 – 2.

Possession: 50.00% – 50.00%.

Corners: 3 – 7.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.