Stade Brestois vs Angers

Stade Brestois host Angers in Ligue 1. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Stade Brestois collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). Angers earned 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Stade Brestois have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Angers have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Stade Brestois average 1.96 xG and 1.17 xGA over 5 recent matches; Angers average 1.61 xG and 1.41 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Stade Brestois in position 12 and Angers in position 8. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 4 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Stade Brestois won 5–1 against Angers. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 3.82 for Stade Brestois and 1.39 for Angers. Stade Brestois generated the higher xG total. Stade Brestois scored +1.18 goals relative to xG and Angers scored -0.39 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Stade Brestois registered 19 shots, with 9 on target (shot accuracy: 47.4%); Angers recorded 9 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (47.2%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Stade Brestois vs Angers

Final score: 5–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 3.82 – 1.39.

Shots: 19 – 9.

Shots on target: 9 – 3.

Possession: 54.00% – 46.00%.

Corners: 4 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.