SC Telstar vs PEC Zwolle
Pre-match analysis and preview
Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.
SC Telstar host PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.
Across their last 5 recorded league matches, SC Telstar collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). PEC Zwolle earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.
At home, SC Telstar have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, PEC Zwolle have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.
Where full-quality xG is available, SC Telstar average 1.71 xG and 1.89 xGA over 5 recent matches; PEC Zwolle average 1.18 xG and 1.28 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.
At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places SC Telstar in position 16 and PEC Zwolle in position 13. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.
The database contains 2 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.
This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.
Model prediction
Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.
1X2
Total goals
Both teams to score
Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches SC Telstar 5/5, PEC Zwolle 5/5; home/away splits 5/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.
Pre-match league context
Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
Recent form comparison
Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.
SC Telstar
PEC Zwolle
Home / away form
Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.
xG trends
Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.
SC Telstar
PEC Zwolle
Expected goals & scorelines
Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.
SC Telstar expected goals
PEC Zwolle expected goals
Recent matches
The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.
SC Telstar
07 NovDA · Fortuna SittardxG 0.79 · xGA 1.872–201 NovWH · FC UtrechtxG 2.45 · xGA 1.284–223 OctLA · Go Ahead EaglesxG 1.05 · xGA 1.102–3PEC Zwolle
06 NovDA · Willem II TilburgxG 0.79 · xGA 0.731–101 NovWH · ADO Den HaagxG 1.44 · xGA 0.501–024 OctDA · FC UtrechtxG 0.91 · xGA 1.631–1Head to head
Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.
More Eredivisie match analysis
Nearby locked predictions from the same season.
Continue exploring
Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.