PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

PEC Zwolle host ADO Den Haag in Eredivisie. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, PEC Zwolle collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). ADO Den Haag earned 5 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, PEC Zwolle have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, PEC Zwolle average 0.88 xG and 1.97 xGA over 5 recent matches; ADO Den Haag average 1.65 xG and 1.95 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places PEC Zwolle in position 15 and ADO Den Haag in position 17. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

PEC Zwolle won 1–0 against ADO Den Haag. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.44 for PEC Zwolle and 0.50 for ADO Den Haag. PEC Zwolle generated the higher xG total. PEC Zwolle scored -0.44 goals relative to xG and ADO Den Haag scored -0.50 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

PEC Zwolle registered 24 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 20.8%); ADO Den Haag recorded 12 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 25.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (37.4%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

Final score: 1–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.44 – 0.50.

Shots: 24 – 12.

Shots on target: 5 – 3.

Possession: 34.00% – 66.00%.

Corners: 8 – 2.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.