RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre

RC Strasbourg host Auxerre in Ligue 1. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, RC Strasbourg collected 4 points (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). Auxerre earned 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, RC Strasbourg have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Auxerre have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, RC Strasbourg average 0.69 xG and 1.24 xGA over 4 recent matches; Auxerre average 1.57 xG and 1.06 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places RC Strasbourg in position 11 and Auxerre in position 12. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 4 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

RC Strasbourg won 5–1 against Auxerre. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 3.07 for RC Strasbourg and 0.44 for Auxerre. RC Strasbourg generated the higher xG total. RC Strasbourg scored +1.93 goals relative to xG and Auxerre scored +0.56 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

RC Strasbourg registered 19 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 31.6%); Auxerre recorded 6 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (38.5%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre

Final score: 5–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 3.07 – 0.44.

Shots: 19 – 6.

Shots on target: 6 – 2.

Possession: 64.00% – 36.00%.

Corners: 5 – 0.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.