Stade Rennais vs Auxerre

Stade Rennais host Auxerre in Ligue 1. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Stade Rennais collected 10 points (3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). Auxerre earned 6 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Stade Rennais have 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Auxerre have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Stade Rennais average 1.76 xG and 2.27 xGA over 5 recent matches; Auxerre average 1.41 xG and 2.05 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Stade Rennais in position 5 and Auxerre in position 11. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 4 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Stade Rennais won 2–1 against Auxerre. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.56 for Stade Rennais and 1.76 for Auxerre. Stade Rennais generated the higher xG total. Stade Rennais scored -0.56 goals relative to xG and Auxerre scored -0.76 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Stade Rennais registered 21 shots, with 10 on target (shot accuracy: 47.6%); Auxerre recorded 12 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 41.7%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (49.2%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Stade Rennais vs Auxerre

Final score: 2–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.56 – 1.76.

Shots: 21 – 12.

Shots on target: 10 – 5.

Possession: 59.00% – 41.00%.

Corners: 12 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.