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International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 94.9h before kickoff

Kyrgyzstan vs Vietnam

🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan

🇻🇳 Vietnam

Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Kyrgyzstan host Vietnam in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 4 recorded league matches, Kyrgyzstan collected 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses). Vietnam earned 12 points from 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

21.2%Home

25.6%Draw

53.2%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Away 53.2%

Total goals

56.3%Over 2.5

43.7%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.4%Yes

50.6%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →

Kyrgyzstan

No pre-match table context available.

Vietnam

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Kyrgyzstan

LLWW

1.50Points / match

2.50Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Vietnam

WWWW

3.00Points / match

2.75Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Kyrgyzstan at home

W-D-L2-0-2

Points / match1.50

Goals / match2.50

xG / match—

Vietnam away

W-D-L0-0-0

Points / match—

Goals / match—

xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Kyrgyzstan.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Vietnam.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Kyrgyzstan expected goals

1.00

Vietnam expected goals

1.74

1–112.3%

0–110.2%

0–29.8%

1–29.8%

0–07.5%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.