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International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 95.9h before kickoff

Palestine vs Iran

🇵🇸 Palestine

🇮🇷 Iran

Sat, 14 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Palestine host Iran in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 4 recorded league matches, Palestine collected 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). Iran earned 3 points from 4 matches (1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Palestine have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 recorded home matches. On the road, Iran have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across 2 away matches.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

20.0%Home

28.6%Draw

51.4%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Away 51.4%

Total goals

49.6%Over 2.5

50.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

50.5%Yes

49.5%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →

Palestine

No pre-match table context available.

Iran

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Palestine

DWDW

2.00Points / match

3.25Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Iran

LWLL

0.75Points / match

1.75Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Palestine at home

W-D-L0-1-0

Points / match1.00

Goals / match2.00

xG / match—

Iran away

W-D-L0-0-2

Points / match0.00

Goals / match0.50

xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Palestine.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Iran.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Palestine expected goals

0.99

Iran expected goals

1.59

1–113.0%

0–111.0%

0–29.6%

1–29.5%

0–08.7%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.