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International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 95.9h before kickoff

New Zealand vs India

🇳🇿 New Zealand

🇮🇳 India

Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

New Zealand host India in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, New Zealand collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). India earned 2 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

71.6%Home

17.4%Draw

11.1%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Home 71.6%

Total goals

57.8%Over 2.5

42.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

43.8%Yes

56.2%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →

New Zealand

No pre-match table context available.

India

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

New Zealand

LDWDL

1.00Points / match

1.40Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

India

LDDLL

0.40Points / match

0.80Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

New Zealand at home

W-D-L0-0-0

Points / match—

Goals / match—

xG / match—

India away

W-D-L0-1-2

Points / match0.33

Goals / match0.67

xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for New Zealand.

Not enough full-quality xG history for India.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

New Zealand expected goals

2.05

India expected goals

0.72

2–013.2%

1–012.0%

1–110.1%

2–19.5%

3–09.0%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.