Wolverhampton vs Derby County

Wolverhampton host Derby County in Championship. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Wolverhampton collected 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). Derby County earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Wolverhampton have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Derby County have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Wolverhampton average 1.60 xG and 0.73 xGA over 5 recent matches; Derby County average 1.14 xG and 2.13 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Wolverhampton in position 5 and Derby County in position 23. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.